Grok on the “Nuke the Filibuster” controversy over the SAVE America act in the context of historic filibuster wins seems to indicate that if Senate Republicans allow the filibuster to succeed, they will be demonstrating to a much wider range of MAGA that a citizen uprising must nuke the political system with a citizen’s dividend to replace voter registration with citizen registration:
Recent Cloture/Filibuster Data (Official Senate Statistics)Here is the filibuster wins rate (cloture votes where cloture was not invoked) for recent Congresses:119th Congress (2025-2026, ongoing): 257 cloture votes held → 215 invoked → 42 filibuster wins (~16% win rate).
118th (2023-2024): 241 votes → 227 invoked → 14 filibuster wins (~6%).
117th (2021-2022): 289 votes → 270 invoked → 19 filibuster wins (~7%).
116th (2019-2020): 298 votes → 270 invoked → 28 filibuster wins (~9%).
115th (2017-2018): 168 votes → 157 invoked → 11 filibuster wins (~7%).
114th (2015-2016): 123 votes → 60 invoked → 63 filibuster wins (~51% — notably high).
Overall trend: When cloture votes are forced on legislation, filibuster wins are relatively uncommon in recent years (often under 10-20%), because the majority usually only pushes votes they have a decent chance of winning or uses them for messaging. Many more potential filibusters are resolved via negotiation, withdrawal, or the majority dropping the bill without a vote.
In the SAVE America Act ContextThe recent procedural vote got 50 votes — short of 60 — so this was a clear filibuster win. It blocked advancement via the standard 60-vote threshold.Key point: Filibusters have a strong record on purely partisan or controversial bills like this one, where one side holds firm below 60. On broadly bipartisan measures, they win far less often when votes are actually held. Many bills also bypass this via reconciliation (budget rules, simple majority) or unanimous consent.