# The Potpourri

**URL:** <https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653>\
**Category:** The Happening World\
**Created:** [25 May 2024 23:57 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653 "2024-05-25T23:57:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![civilwestman](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/civilwestman/32/25_2.png) [@civilwestman](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/civilwestman)\
**Post date:** [31 May 2024 00:30 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/21 "2024-05-31T00:30:10Z")

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One would think the epidemiologists would be knocking each other over to explain this. We already know it can’t possibly be related to “vaccines “.

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**Author:** ![Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/c/a587f6/32.png) [@Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Cyrano)\
**Post date:** [31 May 2024 01:02 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/22 "2024-05-31T01:02:48Z")

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During the pandemic, I read some wag who asserted that the reason the Amish didn’t die of COVID is because they didn’t have TVs.

More seriously, my recollection is that Sweden didn’t avoid vaccines – the data are not immediately at hand – but they did reject lockdowns, probably didn’t force nursing homes to take COVID patients (like New York State), and probably didn’t try to attribute every death while COVID positive to COVID itself (excepting George Floyd’s of course).

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**Author:** ![eggspurt](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/eggspurt/32/3686_2.png) [@eggspurt](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/eggspurt)\
**Post date:** [31 May 2024 01:07 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/23 "2024-05-31T01:07:02Z")

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I’ve no idea how they managed to get to those excess mortality estimates above given the reality visible in the raw data underneath:

# Number of deaths per week in Sweden from 2015 to week 52 in 2023

[![Screenshot 2024-05-30 at 9.06.10 PM](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/uploads/default/original/3X/6/5/650d7295ee3148b081518ec078003ba0b29783d5.jpeg)](https://www.statista.com/statistics/1115707/sweden-number-of-deaths-per-week/)

# Number of deaths per month in USA from Jan 2020 to Aug 2023

[![Screenshot 2024-05-30 at 10.13.41 PM](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/uploads/default/original/3X/2/1/210bf928417cc64130f5aea8a471dc18ac0da8b6.jpeg)](https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Monthly-Provisional-Counts-of-Deaths-by-Select-Cau/9dzk-mvmi/data_preview)

> **[How to Lie with Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/How_to_Lie_with_Statistics)**
>
> How to Lie with Statistics is a book written by Darrell Huff in 1954, presenting an introduction to statistics for the general reader. Not a statistician, Huff was a journalist who wrote many how-to articles as a freelancer.
> The book is a brief, breezy illustrated volume outlining the misuse of statistics and errors in the interpretation of statistics, and how errors create incorrect conclusions.
> In the 1960s and 1970s, it became a standard textbook introduction to the subject of statistics for...

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**Author:** ![Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/c/a587f6/32.png) [@Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Cyrano)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 00:21 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/24 "2024-06-09T00:21:31Z")

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![IMG_2773](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/uploads/default/original/3X/c/b/cb335e1ea3f6749feed4d6e864e299d62c2c6cea.jpeg)

 ![IMG_2800](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/uploads/default/original/3X/b/0/b079ba3ab211855ea2010511ab35dc4f933975ea.jpeg)

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**Author:** ![eggspurt](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/eggspurt/32/3686_2.png) [@eggspurt](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/eggspurt)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 11:46 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/25 "2024-06-09T11:46:59Z")

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[![86BCCBF6-FF54-4C38-A82B-80DC6CA29A25_1_105_c](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/uploads/default/original/3X/c/a/ca2487c4876f4c8200f4d69871a27ccc7d16ba7d.jpeg)](https://x.com/steverattner/status/1798746155154813436)

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**Author:** ![CTLaw](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/ctlaw/32/42_2.png) [@CTLaw](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/CTLaw)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 13:00 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/26 "2024-06-09T13:00:18Z")

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One interesting fact is that they attribute $10,000 per flight hour for traveling on a private plane. On the one hand, that alone could easily provide the bulk of Thomas’s purported gifts. On the other hand, That suggests that no other active justice has flown on a private plane.

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**Author:** ![civilwestman](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/civilwestman/32/25_2.png) [@civilwestman](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/civilwestman)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 13:22 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/27 "2024-06-09T13:22:26Z")

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Another aspect of this is the fact that a. dems (yes, there are D. and R. justices) are much more accomplished at hiding unfavorable things, dishonestly and b. even if the information existed, the media would not only NOT report it, they would go to any length to obfuscate it. It’s like the air we breathe - just the "normal’ way things are. You know, like Alito’s family flag flying upside down several years ago (his wife’s doing), and drudge (sic) already posed the question whether he would “survive” it.

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**Author:** ![Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/c/a587f6/32.png) [@Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Cyrano)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 15:41 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/28 "2024-06-09T15:41:48Z")

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![IMG_2778](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/uploads/default/original/3X/f/c/fcf1e9f59deb6889dfb1b80ed49cfdb0162adce2.jpeg)

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**Author:** ![Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/c/a587f6/32.png) [@Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Cyrano)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 15:44 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/29 "2024-06-09T15:44:39Z")

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![IMG_2752](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/uploads/default/original/3X/6/6/66e1e785a080fc391150a9b156136b845733d61b.jpeg)

I think the 35% figure, in particular, is an underestimate, especially when it comes to Trump.

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**Author:** ![Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/c/a587f6/32.png) [@Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Cyrano)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 15:47 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/30 "2024-06-09T15:47:32Z")

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![IMG_2680](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/uploads/default/original/3X/b/6/b67eda1952aadc5962ab01ff27bed769ff635c40.jpeg)

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**Author:** ![Roxie](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/roxie/32/128_2.png) [@Roxie](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Roxie)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 15:50 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/31 "2024-06-09T15:50:20Z")

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Deeply disturbing, if true. What’s the source population?

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**Author:** ![Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/c/a587f6/32.png) [@Cyrano](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Cyrano)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 15:55 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/32 "2024-06-09T15:55:51Z")

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I generally don’t take note of the sources for the graphics I clip (and nor do I necessarily endorse or believe them). But this one is clearly from The Economist, and I found the (paywalled) article it is from via reverse image search. I had a subscription to that magazine for decades but dropped it in the early 2010s as their politics and mine diverged.

[https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2024/04/17/what-is-screen-time-doing-to-children](https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2024/04/17/what-is-screen-time-doing-to-children)

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**Author:** ![Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/citizen_bitcoin/32/19488_2.png) [@Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Citizen_bitcoin)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 16:45 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/33 "2024-06-09T16:45:55Z")

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Drudge Report has lost all credibility

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**Author:** ![Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/citizen_bitcoin/32/19488_2.png) [@Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Citizen_bitcoin)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 16:55 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/34 "2024-06-09T16:55:37Z")

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This is so true

Non partisan means left wing

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**Author:** ![Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/citizen_bitcoin/32/19488_2.png) [@Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Citizen_bitcoin)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 16:57 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/35 "2024-06-09T16:57:49Z")

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Generation gap?  
More like gender gap

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**Author:** ![Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/citizen_bitcoin/32/19488_2.png) [@Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Citizen_bitcoin)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 16:58 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/36 "2024-06-09T16:58:58Z")

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The Economist was a good magazine in 1998

Like Drudge Report in 1998

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**Author:** ![Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/citizen_bitcoin/32/19488_2.png) [@Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Citizen_bitcoin)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 17:02 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/37 "2024-06-09T17:02:28Z")

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Regarding screen time for children, the biggest factor is innate intelligence or IQ is the biggest factor for cognitive development

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**Author:** ![Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/citizen_bitcoin/32/19488_2.png) [@Citizen\_bitcoin](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/Citizen_bitcoin)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 17:02 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/38 "2024-06-09T17:02:42Z")

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Screen time can have negative impacts on children’s development, including:

- Impaired cognitive abilities and academic performance, as excessive screen time and media multitasking can negatively affect executive functioning, sensorimotor development, and academic outcomes.[2]

- Language development delays, as screen time diminishes the quantity and quality of interactions between children and caregivers.[2]

- Social-emotional problems like obesity, sleep disturbances, depression, anxiety, aggressive behavior, and hindered emotional comprehension and social competence.[2][3]

Excessive screen usage, especially at a young age, is an independent risk factor for reduced psychological well-being.[2] Studies show associations between increased TV exposure before 18 months and emotional reactivity, aggression, and externalizing behaviors.[2] Higher screen time at age 4 is linked to lower emotional understanding at 6.[2]

While some educational content can enhance learning, the negative impacts are concerning enough that major health organizations recommend limiting screen time, especially for children under 5.[4][5] Parental involvement, setting boundaries, and providing alternative activities are crucial for managing children’s screen time.[2][4]

Sources  
[1] What is screen time doing to children? [What is screen time doing to children?](https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2024/04/17/what-is-screen-time-doing-to-children)  
[2] Effects of Excessive Screen Time on Child Development - NCBI [Effects of Excessive Screen Time on Child Development: An Updated Review and Strategies for Management - PMC](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10353947/)  
[3] What do we really know about kids and screens? [What do we really know about kids and screens?](https://www.apa.org/monitor/2020/04/cover-kids-screens)  
[4] Screen time and children: MedlinePlus Medical Encyclopedia [Screen time and children: MedlinePlus Medical Encyclopedia](https://medlineplus.gov/ency/patientinstructions/000355.htm)  
[5] Screen time and preschool children - Canadian Paediatric Society [https://cps.ca/en/documents/position/screen-time-and-preschool-children](https://cps.ca/en/documents/position/screen-time-and-preschool-children)  
[6] Children and too much screen time - Mayo Clinic Health System [https://www.mayoclinichealthsystem.org/hometown-health/speaking-of-health/children-and-screen-time](https://www.mayoclinichealthsystem.org/hometown-health/speaking-of-health/children-and-screen-time)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CTLaw](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/ctlaw/32/42_2.png) [@CTLaw](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/CTLaw)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 17:36 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/39 "2024-06-09T17:36:01Z")

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Think about the delays in the spikes in the three female groups that spiked. There actually is a cohort overlap.

Consider an 18-year old girl who committed suicide in 2015. If a classmate of hers committed suicide in 2019, the latter would show up on the 20s plot. So some of those spikes in the older plots could be more of a delayed reaction to an event that triggered the spike in the younger plot.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CTLaw](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/user_avatar/scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/ctlaw/32/42_2.png) [@CTLaw](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/u/CTLaw)\
**Post date:** [9 June 2024 17:39 UTC](https://scanalyst.fourmilab.ch/t/the-potpourri/4653/40 "2024-06-09T17:39:14Z")

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> Clinics serving the adolescent transgender population observed a change in the referral pattern after about 2005. Most notably, the gender identity clinic in Toronto, Canada, reported a dramatic increase in referrals at that time.[15](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063975/#ref15) At the Portman Clinic in London (part of the Tavistock and Portman NHS Trust) referrals increased very significantly from 2009 to 2016.[16](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063975/#ref16) At the Tampere University Hospital, Finland, referrals between 2011 and 2013 far exceeded the number expected from the findings of epidemiological studies.[17](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063975/#ref17) This had not been the case previously. There were two other changes in the referral pattern over this period. _First, previously, roughly equal numbers of boys and girls had been referred, whereas the increase was associated with much higher numbers of those who had been assigned female gender at birth._ Second, previously, the rates of mental ill health among referred children had been about the same as in the general population,[18](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063975/#ref18) whereas now much higher rates of psychiatric disorder, including autism, were reported.[14](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063975/#ref14),[16](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063975/#ref16)

_Emphasis added._

> **[Transgender children and young people: how the evidence can point the way...](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10063975/)**
>
> The development of gender identity in children from around the age of 3 years is described. Wishes for transgender identity are distinguished from gender-atypical behaviour. Reasons for the recent rise in transgender referrals in the early teen years...

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