Stock up on popcorn and ammo.
6 Likes
Polymarket has race tied at 49 percent. A few days ago Harris was leading with 56 percent. Her price gauging not gouging speech has hurt her quickly.
Also bettors who purchased a Kamala ticket at 20 percent or lower are now selling for a profit.
I learned the hard way on predict it you make money by buying and selling notes before the bet settles. Waiting to the end to cash out is not the optimal strategy. Only worked once with Amy Barrett in 2020.
3 Likes
Among the Kamala campaign ‘insiders’ the mantra is that they’re fighting “for democracy”. Many people aren’t doing their jobs in education/research/media but are instead full-timing on the campaign. It’s scary groupthink.
4 Likes
2 Likes
I’m a bit perplexed about this view attributed to J.D. Vance in this WSJ piece by Rep. Khanna:
I thought it was a spell-o, but it appears again:
Is J.D. Vance really saying that? This is Vance making it clear: https://www.cato.org/multimedia/cato-daily-podcast/jd-vance-immigration
Here is data on where immigration is coming from:
2 Likes
Asia was a bigger cohort than Latin America?
1 Like
Mexico is filed under North America, the biggest single origin.
2 Likes
Only 250:
2 Likes
3 Likes
Just play on a loop:
1 Like
2 Likes
Remember 12 years ago:
2 Likes
I was in high school in Chicago when the song “The Night Chicago Died” was released. We all had a good laugh at the reference to the “East Side of Chicago”. Technically, there is a (small) east side but no one calls it that. Unless the singer’s daddy was an underwater cop, instead of an undercover one.
5 Likes
I just watched AOC’s speech and am now watching Hilary. What seems so weird is, I mean, Harris is already IN office. Why doesn’t she do all this stuff NOW?
And now Clinton is saying the prez job is to “take care that the laws be faithfully executed.” Oh my GOD how dare she?
This is awful. Even I actually begin to have doubts about the 19th Amendment
6 Likes
Listening to that Cato institute interview sounded of violin music by Nero. He conflates those who wanted to reduce immigration rates with those that did not want to increase immigration rates. Tralala tralala listen to the music tralala tralala let’s increase immigration rates as we have been for decades tralala what could possibly go wrong? tralala
I’ve been telling you guys ever since Trump said Mexican rapists in 2015 that it is beyond the point where we can talk about immigration. The legitimacy of the political system has been trashed by the people who had their way for the last half century over the objection of more than a supermajority of the American people.
Get that through your head and you might be able to make sense of what’s happening. Ignore me yet again on this most salient of all points and your world model is leading you down the garden path
5 Likes
Here’s some data from the UK, which I think has a far more challenging problem with immigration than the US: https://www.wsj.com/world/uk/the-u-k-stamped-out-anti-immigration-riotsnow-comes-the-hard-part-d98466c4
Following the riots, a YouGov poll found more than half of Britons picked “immigration and asylum” as one of the top issues facing the country—almost equaling worries about the economy. That is the highest level of concern about immigration since 2016, according to the survey, shortly after the U.K. voted to leave the European Union in part due to worries over the rise in immigration from Eastern Europe.
Since 2000, the percentage of the U.K. population that was born outside the country has doubled to 17%—higher than the 14% for the U.S. More than 40% of London’s nine million residents were born abroad.
While most Britons opposed the violence, 7% said they backed the unrest either slightly or strongly, and many more worry about the speed of immigration and the country’s capacity to assimilate migrants, according a recent YouGov survey. That survey also showed 57% of respondents said immigration was “too high,” with 24% saying it was “about right” and only 4% said it was “too low.”
Brexit was expected to reduce net legal migration given that most EU citizens would no longer be able to live in the U.K. without a visa. But while Brexit gave the U.K. more control over who it decided to let in, the visa rules it eventually drew up allowed far greater numbers of people to enter from other parts of the world. The upshot: Legal net migration grew quickly, reaching a record level of 764,000 in 2022 before falling back slightly to 685,000 last year, according to government statistics.
In the past few years, some of the new arrivals were part of a humanitarian program to help displaced Ukrainians and citizens of the former British colony of Hong Kong. But that total was just 102,000 last year. Far more numerous were some 616,000 work visas and another 606,000 student visas, according to government figures.
That has made large numbers of people take to the English Channel to cross in inflatable rafts. Those numbers have risen fast, from just 299 people in 2018 to a record 45,774 in 2022 and 29,437 last year. This year’s crossings are on pace for a record. The Starmer government has ditched the previous government’s plan to send asylum seekers to Rwanda and said it would focus on breaking up criminal gangs that ferry would-be refugees. It also plans to speed up the processing of asylum seekers once they are here.
It’s interesting to see who’s in charge:
The locations of the recent riots correlated closely with both the country’s most deprived working-class areas and zones where migrants were being housed in hotels awaiting their asylum decisions, said Sunder Katwala, head of British Future, a group that monitors social attitudes to migration and integration. […] For the most part, Katwala said, integration in the U.K. has gone well. Compared with France, immigrants in the U.K. are far less residentially segregated and have educational achievement closer to the native-born population. Meanwhile, the percentage of Britons who say you have to be white to be British has fallen to just 3% from 10% a decade ago, he said, citing a survey by Ipsos.
4 Likes
Assuming the UK isn’t already gone, the UK’s problem IS the US’s managerial class just as is the case with the rest of the world. The looting of the World Reserve Currency’s network effects by the managerial class and their clients presiges just another civilizational cycle of immigrate, takeover, centralize and take the money and run: The evolution of virulence through horizontal transmission of the most vile aspects of humanity. But this time around the exploitation of humanity worldwide has limited their options. It will take a paradigm shift on the order of sortocracy to turn this around without losing billions of people worldwide in order to institute an artificial selection regime evolving symbiosis.
4 Likes
How do asylum seekers reach England? If they are crossing the channel, they crossed Europe never seeking asylum.
The U.K. must be 40% born abroad for these two things to be consistent. But I guess you can always find something worse and say our system is good because it is not as bad as a worse system.
This points out polling isn’t a great method to justify anything. @Gavin has pointed out some of the failures of polling.
Polling rarely gives a choice. Are you for funding Ukraine is a much different question than are you for reducing Social Security in order to fund Ukraine? The first question assumes there are no trade offs. The trade off is important to understand. What are you willing to sacrifice for X?
Many of the people that are vehemently opposed to woke ideology watched the Super Bowl with all its woke ideology. In other words, the polling on woke should have a question that says if you had to skip the Super Bowl do you still oppose woke ideology?
If you are opposed to immigration are you willing to pay significantly or do without all the things that immigrants work on? Or are you willing to forgo regulations? Are you willing to remove safety nets to insure more people work? Are you willing to relocate to fill a need?
On the flip side, if you are for immigration are you willing to have Social Security, Medicaid and Medicare reduced? Are you willing to have the immigrants housed in your neighborhood? Are you willing to accept lack of housing? Do you agree that the culture should change? Or maybe allow a war within your country?
All of those things and more are part of the considerations that should be weighed in deciding what you support.
There is no worse way to make decisions than to act as if the decision has no downsides and this is what polling does.
7 Likes
The attitude of “Legal immigration is what ‘we’ want.” in the face of the grotesque mockery of “consent of the governed” manifest over the last half century is reflected in John Derbyshire’s risible justification for the last half century’s violation of consent of the US population wherein he said, “If Americans minded what was happening, they didn’t mind enough to stop it.” which is nearly verbatim the statement made by one of the chief proponents of the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 morphing into granting affirmative action preferences to immigrants from India and other obscenities.
This is like an HIV vector dosing a girl with roofies and saying, “If she didn’t want me fucking her, she didn’t mind enough to tell me to stop it!”
Yeah, you may have destroyed the West with your sophistry, but people world wide know who you are and you aren’t going to get away with it this time. You have no where to run – not with gold, diamonds or bitcoin.
6 Likes
Really the Dementocrat convention is so….conventional.
So old-fashioned, passé.
The “glass ceiling”? “Corporate greed”? Trump’s “Wall Street billionaire” friends? I feel like I’m back in college!
Next these Dem dames will be saying Trump has “sold out to the System”……it’s the Big Chill but with ugly and/or weazened and/or bug-eyed actresses. We’ve seen this movie, and the remake is nowhere near as entertaining as the original was. Ho hum😴……
6 Likes