Iran War et. seq.

This post comes under the Scanalyzer category of “Continuity” for a clear reason: modern Iran’s belligerency was reactivated shortly after the Ayatollah Khomeini took power in 1979. Iran has insinuated itself strategically throughout the Middle East so as to threaten the “little satan” with a long term intent to strike the “big satan”.

Iran’s leaders are explicitly millenarian in worldview. Many in the West simply refuse to understand - to dismiss - this long-practiced, ontological aspect of Islam: conquest of the entire world, with a single choice - either conversion or death. This is so foreign to the Western intellect that the very notion of this playing out is relegated to fantasy. This, despite the fact we have previously suffered effects from this particular “failure of imagination” (as in 9/11). Had Western thought continued in that direction, eventually, Iranian nuclear warheads would have vaporized many thousands/millions of innocent civilians.

Significantly, (stating the obvious) the West has refused to take Islamists at their word. It is fundamental fact that Islam is not merely a personal belief system for individuals, as are other Western religions. It is a total system - as in totalitarian - of organizing society along very strict prescriptions and proscriptions. To the extent any tolerance whatsoever exists, infidels - dhimmies - exist as second class subjects.

A grand hypocrisy - a shocking one, really, has operated for generations among Western progressives and intellectuals. Groups they so zealously portray as “victims” in the West - minorities endlessly said to be horribly “oppressed” according to progressive pieties - these same groups are assiduously ignored in the Islamic world. One might think that under Islamic rule, there is no problem whatsoever with misogyny, homophobia, intolerance, etc. Amplified complaints of “white supremacy” (believed or practiced by some insignificant tiny minority of bigots in the West), are laughable when compared to explicit and unending acts asserting Islamic supremacy, with explicit plans and thousands of violent acts, for global conquest.

Also assiduously ignored by Western “leaders” for generations is the Islamic principle of “tiqiyya”. This is a basic component of jihad - an often obligatory form strategic deception. Falsehood and lies are foreign to Western negotiators whose fundamental ethical precepts require forthright honesty and truth-telling. The logical conclusion of deceptive strategy can be seen as the cause of the insoluble “Palestinian” vs. Israel conflict. The former negotiate with one goal: destruction of Israel and mass murder of Jews; negotiations yield but pauses, way-stations along the way to the ultimate goal. In short, lying is an acceptable, indeed obligatory, tactic along with whatever violence is deemed necessary.

So, as has become the default for materially comfortable and decadent Western “democracies™” (that’s a separate tirade) when it comes to most every existential issue, the Iran can has been kicked down the road by Presidents before Trump. As I understand principles derivable from history and the trajectory of this particular tyranny, President Trump understood the dilemma: either strike now with the attendant certainty of criticism, mainly politically motivated or pusillanimous posing as principled (including leftist political venom and assassins), or suffer the eventual nuclear consequences. Diplomacy, after all, has become a religion - any piece of paper purporting to solve a problem - is fervently believed to be a “solution” (until the next set of leaders finds otherwise), regardless of what actually transpires on the ground. Belief in the power of ink completely subsumes reality. Recall taqiyya; recall Chamberlain’s “peace in our time”; recall Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, etc.

Of course, we can never know what would have transpired had President Trump and Israel not acted. We will surely hear the usual Jew hatred and assertions it’s Israel’s problem, not the US’s. As I see it, Iran’s many actions over many years along with explicit, repeated intentions for the “great satan” with historical context, make clear our own jeopardy. To me, the evidence shows - clearly and convincingly (almost “beyond a reasonable doubt” and well beyond “preponderance of the evidence”) that failure to act to end this evil regime would inevitably cause catastrophic death and suffering for millions. When it comes to geopolitical decisions, evidence doesn’t get much better than this. Proving a negative, as we know….

After all the hand wringing, pearl clutching, and condescending axioms of “diplomacy”, I believe the world will eventually be persuaded that it owes Donald Trump, courageous President of the United States a great debt of gratitude. Nothing will persuade the TDS crowd (a plague of sorts of our time), so ‘nuff said to the rational about this inflection point in 21st century history.

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I have posited recently as well, what will happen when governments of the UK (by 2073 using moderate demographic estimates) and France (2088) become Islamist? The present “leaders” are doing everything imaginable, it appears, to hasten this eventuality. I suppose this reduces the importance of taking out Iran’s nuclear ambitions. All this strategy would require on the part of Islamists is patience. Wait 50 years or so, and Mohammed acquires two already-miniaturized nuclear arsenals and their state of the art delivery systems - including nuclear subs. Maybe AI will have taken over before then?

BTW, an Iranian friend once tole me that a “moderate” Iranian is one who hold a blood grudge for only four generations.

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Hee hee, well— when the Islamists take over at least the Right won’t have to worry about repealing the 19th Amendment any more. We’ll see if the gents like the all-male theocracy any better. (Oh, just funnin’— of COURSE they will! No, wait—don’t excoriate me, I entertain the possibility that maybe the women will like it better too​:thinking::ninja:t2:….)

And take over I think they will. Daniel Pipes predicted this decades ago, before 9/11, in his book “Militant Islam Reaches America”. Demographics, like you said.

Islam is the monstrous issue of Father Abraham and Mother Church, banished to the deserts for awhile, and now, returning to throttle its parents.

I HATE to quote Yeats’ poem, it is so over-used and MISused lately, but the line about the ..”rough beast, its hour come round at last/ Slouch[ing] toward Bethlehem to be born”. Is just so apt.

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You reminded me of my earlier reference to the book, A Canticle for Leibowitz.

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I read that on your recommendation—loved it.

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Read decades ago. Feels like time to re-read/re-visit.

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Along those same lines, there’s Robert Harris’ The Second Sleep.

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The doctrine of decapitation, sans “you broke it you nation build it” is, according to John Robb, likely to backfire in the age of drone warfare.

Robb points to the underlying risk obscured by the red-herring of mere assassination. It is a degenerate case of Systempunkt.

Drones are highly asymmetrical in an age of efficiency at any cost including the sacrifice of resilience that is, itself, a consequence of taxing activity to pay for the protection of liquid market cap, with the attendant destruction of affordable family formation.

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I shant dare to bring this up in these parts given that the pubescent girls of all sexes and ages (that occupy positions of trust and authority paid by WS and DC trickledown of the WRC) get mighty upset when someone other than FEMA or whatever bureaucracy, starts looking like they might have doubts that their “Daddy” has everything taken care of so the rest of us shouldn’t get so uppity as to worry our pretty little heads (but boy will they be made at me for not doing something when their “Daddy” didn’t show up – because after all, I was supposed to be a MAN):
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For military preparedness in an Iowa-style corn/soy farming region (Council Bluffs area or similar), diesel tractors can achieve near-total fuel self-sufficiency using existing diesel fleets + affordable conversion kits, leveraging local crops, your cheap off-peak electricity (0.01 USD/kWh), and minimal/no additional dedicated land. The system is decentralized, resilient to supply disruptions, and relies on proven on-farm processes: primarily straight vegetable oil (SVO) from soybeans (simplest, no exotic chemistry), supplemented by biodiesel with e-methanol (from your electricity + free local CO₂), and switchgrass pyrolysis on marginal land for redundancy. No new tractors needed—two-tank SVO kits, biodiesel reactors, or dual-fuel kits (already commercially available and installable by local mechanics) keep your John Deere/Case IH fleet running.

Land Area for Self-Sufficiency (Realistic Iowa Numbers)

  • Tractor diesel need: 4 gallons/acre/year average for full corn-soy rotation field operations (planting, tillage, spraying, harvesting; conservative from Iowa State University Extension PM-709, farmer reports, and no-till/moderate-till data). This excludes hauling/drying (minimized in crisis via local use or electric alternatives).
  • Soybean oil yield: Iowa 2024–2025 average ~55–60 bu/acre (record 63.5 in 2025); use conservative 55 bu/acre. Oil extraction: ~1.45–1.5 gallons crude soy oil per bushel → ~80 gallons SVO (or biodiesel feedstock) per soy acre.
  • For a 1,000-acre corn-soy farm (typical scale):
    • Annual diesel-equivalent need: 4,000 gallons.
    • Soy acres required for fuel (SVO or BD): ~50–55 acres (4,000 ÷ 80 gal/acre).
    • In standard 50/50 rotation (500 soy acres): Process only ~10% of your soy harvest for fuel. The remaining 90% stays for food, feed (soy meal byproduct), or sale.
    • Net land diversion: Effectively 0% additional cropland—soy is already in rotation, meal retains high feed value (critical for livestock in crisis), and oil is extracted on-farm with electric presses.
    • Worst case (all-corn farm): Divert ~5% of land to soy for fuel—still trivial, with meal as bonus livestock feed.

Switchgrass on marginal/set-aside land (common in Iowa CRP or low-productivity acres):

  • Yield: 5–6 dry tons/acre (mature stands, improved varieties like Liberty).
  • Fast pyrolysis: 60–75 wt% bio-oil yield.
  • ~200–300+ gallons diesel-equivalent bio-oil per acre (energy density ~40% of diesel; usable in modified diesels or blended after simple stabilization). 100–200 marginal acres provide massive buffer/stockpile.

Overall: Fuel 1,000+ acres of food production with <6% effective land use (integrated) + marginal acres for redundancy. Surplus oil/meal can support neighboring units or reserves. Scale linearly for larger regions—e.g., a county with 100,000 acres cropland needs fuel from ~5,000–6,000 soy acres (already grown).

Chemical/Mass/Energy Balance (Closed-Loop, Carbon-Neutral Focus)

All paths recycle atmospheric/farm carbon. Electricity (your off-peak power) provides the “hydrogen boost” and process energy—no net fossil inputs required.

  1. Primary: Soy SVO (Simplest, Most Pragmatic for Existing Diesels)

    • Input (per acre soy): Soy plant photosynthesis: CO₂ (air) + H₂O + sun + soil minerals/NPK (recycled via rotation/fertilizer from meal ash) → soybeans (~C₅₇H₁₀₄O₆ triglycerides in oil fraction, ~18–20% oil by weight).
    • Process: Electric press/filter (5–15 kWh/gallon oil; heaters for flow). Output: Crude soy oil (C ~77%, H ~12%, O ~11%) + high-protein meal (feed).
    • Use in tractor (with 2-tank conversion kit): Oil + O₂ (air) → CO₂ + H₂O + mechanical energy. Fuel use ~same or +10% volume vs diesel.
    • Balance: Fully closed carbon cycle (plant fixes CO₂ → burn releases same). Electricity input: ~10–20 kWh per gallon net fuel (press + kit heaters). Byproduct: Meal (livestock) + press cake (feed/soil).
    • Crisis edge: No methanol/chemicals. Filter only. Kits handle cold starts/viscosity.
  2. Biodiesel Option (Drop-In for Any Diesel, Uses Kits/Reactors)

    • Transesterification: Triglyceride (soy oil) + 3 CH₃OH (methanol) → 3 FAME (biodiesel, C₁₉H₃₆O₂ typical) + glycerol.
      • Methanol need: ~0.2 gallons per gallon biodiesel (20% by volume; standard 18–22% excess for complete reaction).
    • E-methanol from your electricity + local CO₂:
      • Electrolysis: 2H₂O → 2H₂ + O₂ (~50 kWh/kg H₂).
      • Synthesis: CO₂ + 3H₂ → CH₃OH + H₂O (~10–15 kWh/kg total methanol including compression; byproduct O₂ saleable).
      • CO₂ source: Free/negative-cost from nearby corn ethanol plants (fermentation: C₆H₁₂O₆ → 2 EtOH + 2 CO₂; ~1 ton CO₂ per ~0.5 ton ethanol—abundant in Iowa, often vented or captured).
    • Balance per gallon biodiesel: ~80 gal soy oil input (from ~1 soy acre fraction) + ~16 gal e-methanol (from ~500–700 kWh electricity + ~150 kg CO₂) → 80+ gal BD + glycerol (soap/chemical feedstock).
      • Electricity total: ~8–12 kWh/gal BD (mostly for methanol; pressing negligible).
      • Net: Recycles corn-plant CO₂; adds H from water via power. Carbon-neutral. Glycerol byproduct valuable.
    • Energy ratio: 4–5+ (output fuel energy >> fossil/elec input; your cheap power makes it strongly positive).
  3. Switchgrass Pyrolysis (Backup/Redundancy on Marginal Land)

    • Input: Switchgrass (cellulose/hemicellulose/lignin: ~C₆H₁₀O₅ average) grown on low-grade land (no food conflict).
    • Process: Fast pyrolysis (400–600°C, electric or self-fueled by syngas/char): Biomass → 60–75% bio-oil (oxygenated hydrocarbons) + 15–25% char (soil amendment/carbon sequestration) + 10–20% syngas (process heat/electricity).
    • Output: Bio-oil usable in diesels with kits (or upgraded with your H₂ for drop-in). Energy: ~40% diesel-equivalent by volume.
    • Balance: Plant fixes CO₂ → pyrolysis redistributes C/H/O → burn releases CO₂. Char returns carbon to soil. Electricity: For grinding/drying/reactor if needed (~20–50 kWh/ton biomass).
    • Crisis role: Stockpile bio-oil; run on marginal acres during food-priority years.

Overall System Balance (1,000-acre farm example):

  • Carbon: 100% recycled farm/atmospheric (soy + switchgrass fix during growth; CO₂ from ethanol plants closes methanol loop).
  • Hydrogen: From water via electrolysis (your power).
  • Oxygen: Byproduct or air.
  • Minerals: Recycled in meal/char/ash.
  • Energy input: Almost entirely your off-peak electricity (processing + e-methanol; total ~50,000–100,000 kWh/year for full farm—trivial at scale, runs during surplus hours).
  • Net output: Fuel + food/feed + soil health. Surplus for military logistics/reserves.

Implementation for Military Preparedness:

  • Immediate (weeks): Buy/install SVO two-tank kits (~$1k–5k/tractor; heat/filter for existing diesels). Electric soy presses (on-farm, powered off-peak).
  • Short-term (months): Small biodiesel batch reactors + electrolyzer for e-methanol (CO₂ piped from ethanol plants). Dual-fuel kits if ethanol preferred.
  • Redundancy: Plant/expand switchgrass on marginal acres; stockpile oil/bio-oil.
  • Resilience: Fully on-farm control. No supply chains. Byproducts (meal, glycerol, char, O₂) sustain food production/livestock. Scalable to co-ops/bases. Iowa’s existing ethanol infrastructure provides free CO₂ “carbon backbone.”

This setup turns your electricity + existing ag land into strategic fuel independence—fueling tractors to keep food production running indefinitely in crisis. SVO is the quickest win for your diesel fleet. For a specific farm size, tractor count, or exact equipment list, provide details and I can refine yields/costs further. This is battle-ready decentralization.

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Maybe Rubio should stop inventing "imminent threats" to justify the war his administration started and get to work doing his department's job of helping Americans in the war zone they created. https://t.co/hVFtT81cBi

— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) March 3, 2026
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Even as little ‘hard’ information is available (amidst copious psy-ops from every quarter), It has become clear to me the extent to which Israel understood the truly existential nature of the risk Iran - under its present leadership - represented. I note that following the 12 day war of June, 2025, there was not very much revealed about the battle damage which resulted in Israel. As is usual, when it comes to those whose intent is actually (and repeatedly and explicitly) genocide, Iran’s missiles targeted civilians. As is also usual, the world yawns and - in a bizarre reversal of reality typical of ideolgues - accuses Israel of genocide (despite the fact that, had it wished, Israel could have killed orders of magnitude more Gaza civilians.

The point I want to make, however, is that there was likely more damage in June and likely significantly more, ongoing now from Iran’s missiles directed primarily at population centers. Unlike Gaza and other extremist regimes, Israel does not hide its military resources among civilians. Imagine - no missiles stored in synagogues! Anyway, the willingness of Israel to accept significant present casualties and infrastructure damage in exchange for future existence, surely reveals the breadth and depth of their belief Iran means what it has been threatening since the Islamisrt regime took power. These same evildoers have announced their intentions for the US as well (and the world). The entire history of Islamist expansion must inform present policies - especially considering the world-shattering effects of WMD’s in their hands.

What does history teach about the behavior of ideologically extreme regimes? Have their threats been mere political boasting? Or have they done their level best to implement them? Do peaceable nations dare stand idly by and await developments in such a high-stakes climate? Or do they act decisively before repeatedly announced plans are put into effect? What do those on the left (ever focused on supposed “white supremacy”) think of explicit, repeated statements and acts of Islamic Supremacy (small example - assembling hundreds of the Umma to “pray” in the middle of busy highways; just an expression of gratitude for letting them in and giving them more social welfare than citizens)? Do they think these threats are just idle boasts and that continual wars of conquest on the periphery of Islamic nations is just “misinformation” (naturally, made up by the Jews)?

When the ayatollah or his minions repeat the statement that Israel is a “one bomb state”, “a cancer”, do they think they’re bluffing? Were it your decision, what would you do?

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I think we did the right thing. And the goal of this war is very clear: disable Iran. If we can get to the point where they can’t hurt anybody else anymore, THEN we can worry about the future of their country. Or (my preference) NOT worry about it, because if they’re weak and contained, who gives a fuck WHAT they do within their borders?

1979 was a true “people’s revolution”. The people rejected the Shah and modernity and opted for a strict Islamist regime. Oh not all of them of course, and some left. But enough of them to storm the U.S. Embassy and take hostages. And that kind of revolution is only possible with the connivance of the military. In 1979 the Iranian military announced that it was not going to “take sides” which is tantamount to saying it wouldn’t defend the old regime. They ceded the streets to the people, who streamed out with no fear of being shot at.

Unfortunately the IRCG is not just an armed military organization, it’s a business empire, and one whose survival depends on preservation of the regime. The populace is unarmed. Under these circumstances it’s impossible to believe “the people”,meaning whatever portion of them wants change, can effectuate it. They’ll just be shot.
Can the IRGC kill ‘em ALL? Actually, it probably can, but it wont have to, just the bravest ones.

But like I said above, that’s ok (by me!) as long as the harm Iran can do to the U.S., and to the civilized world economy, is eliminated.

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Iran is probably not making any friends in the Arabian Gulf by attacking oil production and tourist facilities which are so important to the economies of that string of Arab countries from Kuwait down to Oman – not that relations were particularly friendly ahead of the attacks.

Easy to see that Saudi or the UAE or a coalition of various Arab countries might decide it is not a good idea to leave any future Iranian regime with control of the north side of the Straits of Hormuz. When the US has run out of targets to bomb in a few weeks and pulls back, it would not be surprising if those Arab countries decided to use their expensive militaries to take over that piece of Iran.

As well as the Persian/Arab ethnic differences, there is also the Sunni/Shia split – and we know for how many centuries the Catholic/Protestant split roiled Christian Europe. Forecast is for more conflict.

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out of date data and wanting to kill own children so that the right news hit the West:

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