Modern Warfare

Ukraine will never have conventional air superiority. Russia will destroy all airbases that house any Western fighters UA gets and will step up attacks on air defense systems.

Russia can wait and watch while UA and the West invest in the facilities and then take them out once the fighters arrive.

7 Likes

Well we are entitled to believe what we want to.

But the narrative is slowly shifting.

The MSM has always said “the war is unprovoked Russian aggression” …

Some are aware that this is a big fat lie.

Latest Farage said to BBC said that this conflict is NATO provocation due to expansion …

Many people in the west will have difficulty coping with this truth.

But get used to this - BRICS is expanding (the world majority) and G7 (world minority) is crumbling into the dust of history.

This conflict will end and there is only one way for it to end … total Russian victory on the battlefield and unconditional surrender by Ukraine signed by NATO / US / EU / G7 !!!

6 Likes

Can you please explain this statement?

4 Likes

That raises an interesting point about modern warfare – air supremacy, such as US/NATO had in Afghanistan – is no longer available to any party. Russia has air dominance over the Donbas, but does very little flying over Rump Ukraine (using missiles instead). US/NATO may conceptually have air supremacy over the Houthis – but the Houthis are still successfully controlling the entrance to the Red Sea, and expensive US drones fly at their own risks.

With the improvements in anti-air missiles, it is doubtful that any party to any future (conventional) war will ever have air supremacy. This has major knock-on effects on what can realistically be accomplished by ground-based forces.

9 Likes

Counter-drone tactics keep evolving.

Warm dummies:
Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.44.06 AM

Pre-emptive strikes:
Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.42.57 AM

Drone air superiority?
Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.52.44 AM

3 Likes
5 Likes

Drone carriers:
Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 10.36.43 AM

2 Likes

To support production, please donate …” to an entity that claims to be in the highly corrupt Ukraine?

Well, you can’t blame them for trying! Though they really should focus on asking NATO for money – that’s where the Big Bucks are. Just ask Zelensky.

5 Likes

Russians have similarly funded volunteer drone development efforts I’ve written about earlier. I think Ukrainian corruption is quite trivial given the recent wipe-out of the whole corrupt Shoigu bloc in Russia.

5 Likes

Corruption is an interesting phenomenon. For example, many of us would think that the open door for senior US military officers between military service and military contractors has the appearance of corruption – definitely fails the “Caesar’s wife” test. And yet Our Betters have defined it as non-corrupt, and they are the ones who write the laws.

Any thinking person would define “Joe Biden’s” successful threat to cancel a One Billion US Dollar donation to the Ukraine unless they fired the prosecutor looking into his son’s dealings as a clear-cut example of corruption. But the incorruptible people in the US Justice Department don’t agree.

Certainly, there is corruption in Russia – just as there is in the Zelensky regime and in “Joe Biden’s” America. At least the Russians appear to be trying to do something about it.

6 Likes

This is ridiculous. Zelensky has gone on record about corruption in a way that’s improved things by an order of magnitude compared to where they started with:

You really think Ukraine would have been able to contend with Russia if it was as corrupt as these braindead Putin exhaust allegations make it to be?

2 Likes

Not everything is Putin propaganda. Actually, my guess is there is little Putin propaganda but that is just my opinion. In the case of corruption, Ukraine was rated equal to Russia. Something like 152nd place in the world. I cannot recall the source, but it certainly wasn’t Putin given Russia was 1 place different.

5 Likes

Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.21.21 PM

Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.21.31 PM

1 Like

Source of that information is the organization which calls itself: “Transparency International Russia (in exile)

Don’t know about your spidey sense, but mine is tingling. Perhaps that source is not, shall we say, the most unbiased in the world.

As with many other things that get politicized, definitions of anything that is not physically measurable can become quite contentious. A good example is infant mortality, where the US gets a low rating because our medical system really tries to keep (non-aborted) babies alive – with an understandable significant failure rate – whereas many other countries simply count those unfortunately distressed new-born babies as stillborn, thereby reducing reported infant mortality.

6 Likes

I’m not so sure. How do you know Ukraine is less corrupt than Russia?

Ukraine has been corrupt since genesis. One reason it’s a poor country and small economy is a culture of corruption.

Russia is also corrupt but not necessarily worse than Ukraine

4 Likes

Ukraine can’t contend with Russia. If they could they wouldn’t lobby for NATO membership.

4 Likes

Remember when Obama was praising the medical system in Cuba :cuba:?

He said life expectancy is higher in Cuba and infant mortality is lower in Cuba.

His claims about Cuba is nonsense because it’s Cuba and specifically doctors in Cuba are paid 1 dollar a day. I forget the exact amount

3 Likes

The investigation is said to have found with a 90% probability that the plane was being subjected to electronic jamming shortly before and during the crash sequence. No mayday call was received from the pilots before it hit the ground.

The wives of several of Prigozhin’s bodyguards aboard the plane were talking with their husbands before the crash. They have said that the phone connections simultaneously failed abruptly even before the explosion that brought the plane down.

5 Likes

https://www.wsj.com/world/drones-in-ukraine-get-smarter-to-dodge-russias-jamming-signals-9ebe3c07

One way to escape jamming is to move a drone’s communications onto a different frequency. But the enemy soon finds that frequency, ensuring a constant race across the spectrum.

Ukraine fits jamming devices to almost all vehicles operating at the front. Electronic-warfare devices take various forms, from simple vehicle-mounted antennas to hand-held guns that resemble futuristic rifles.

Drones from Quantum Systems have a frequency hopping system that can automatically jump between radio frequencies as jamming occurs. The German company is building drones in Kyiv with a Ukrainian staff of about 40, and brings in parts from Europe to update its UAVs against more aggressive jamming tactics, said Chief Executive Florian Seibel.

Another way for drones to avoid jamming is using a so-called pixel lock, where the drone locks onto a target and follows it without needing to be remotely guided by an operator.

Meier says that outside of China, Kyiv is the drone capital of the world, with a large parts supply chain and fewer restrictions on testing than in the West.

By contrast, building a drone in the U.S. can be onerous. Policies aimed at keeping drones secure from hacking and durable for the battlefield limit what parts can be used, where they are bought from and when software can be updated.

6 Likes

Truth of the matter is, no one seems to be “reliable” as a source of information. There does seem to be a Russian offensive that is gaining some ground. There also seems to be a Russian offensive aimed at the Ukrainian power grid - a singularly easy target, just like ours. There also appears to be a Ukrainian assault on civilian Russian targets - mostly using weapons we’ve given them. We can’t not have known they would be so used. Even an idiot would “guess” the Ukrainians with their backs against the wall would revert to such tactics as a means of sowing discontent in Russia. Putin losing support of people in Russia is not a good thing for him. He may be able to thwart individual attempts at coup’s but not the overall loss of support of the people, especially if they’re not cowed by his strong arm tactics. It is difficult for an individual to resist such tactics, but easy for a group to do so.

This is why the Dems have been so vehement about Jan 6. It is their attempt to intimidate a large collection of people from objecting. Joe Biden may pretend to be able to deploy F-16’s against “protestors” but it is a hollow threat. No “government” can stand against a persistent opposition of a majority of the people. They can only send SWAT teams of quisling FBI agents against essentially harmless people to try to intimidate the rest.

Remember what happened at Waco. A large, heavily armed ATF SWAT team essentially assaulted a peaceful group of citizens. Billy Clinton almost lost his presidency over that; he managed to successfully pawn off responsibility onto Janet Reno, but the alternath was still ugly - ALL because the citizens did NOT accept being assaulted by the government lying down. Some time in the future, if this nation survives and returns to its roots of liberty, those people will rightfully be hailed as hero’s. Some. of that has already happened. Putin is well aware of the risks and has attempted to mitigate them. Whether he will be successful or not remains to be seen.

Just remember, while we debate this whole messy issue back and forth, the truth is somewhere out there eluding us consistently. And no matter how we feel, we don’t have serious, reproducible facts.

7 Likes