Prediction Markets Open Thread

The Nobel Peace Prize organisers are investigating a potential leak after online betting surged in favour of Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado just hours before she was announced as this year’s winner. https://t.co/7kpcLw7oNR pic.twitter.com/DZMelGQFLN

— Financial Times (@FT) October 10, 2025
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There’s something vaguely scammy about online prediction markets. Maybe not so vague, on second thought.

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Insider trading which never happens in first world liberal democracies, thank god, otherwise we could be screwed

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