The Nobel Peace Prize organisers are investigating a potential leak after online betting surged in favour of Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado just hours before she was announced as this year’s winner. https://t.co/7kpcLw7oNR pic.twitter.com/DZMelGQFLN
— Financial Times (@FT) October 10, 2025
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There’s something vaguely scammy about online prediction markets. Maybe not so vague, on second thought.
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Insider trading which never happens in first world liberal democracies, thank god, otherwise we could be screwed
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Two weeks ago, we reported on an insider who won $400K betting on Maduro losing power.
— PredictFolio (@PredictFolio) January 14, 2026
Today, Donald Trump announced that this leaker has been identified and is now in jail.
The Polymarket account linked to him also appears to have been deleted. https://t.co/zxV9juvlqT pic.twitter.com/Pm5jFo0TOV
Grok named this person:
https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72125082/united-states-v-perez-lugones/
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Polymarket has always had a whiff of scam about it: the smell of mendacity.
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