Science Ain't What It Used To Be

Isn’t there an alternative hypothesis that more parsimoniously explains the evidence? Namely that lockdowns don’t work?

Because what you have to believe for the hypothesis you advocate is that a) lockdowns miraculously worked early on, then b) lockdowns failed mysteriously. The miraculous effect is explained by government effectiveness early on, while the mysterious later failure is attributed to vague “political adversaries”.

Separately, wouldn’t it be the case that in politics all sides typically assert their opponents engage in “destructive political activism”.

To turn back to a more quantitative assessment of lockdown effectiveness, is there any credible evidence of consistent effectiveness? To my knowledge, the answer is “no”, unless you accept the version that is operationalized in China. Even that requires ignoring the cost vs. benefit calculation, unless one assigns significant value to the political upside associated with maintaining the optics of administrative control.

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Would the size difference between “spittle and sniffles” vs. virion particles play a role in mask effectiveness?

When it comes to actual effectiveness, is there a meaningful difference between this and this

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Obviously (maybe not to some) virions don’t get magically ejected from the body but are enveloped in mucus etc when they get ejected.

Maintaining a contrarian position requires a certain amount of education, reading, and intelligence.

I believe this is correct and consequently think masks are marginally effective in reducing airborne spread. Controlling for the many variables makes it very difficult to design and carry out credible studies. My own approach is that - probably due to my normalcy bias (I have worked in hospital OR’s wearing masks for 60 years) - I consider it a minimal burden, personally. I believe that wearing them, however, ought not be mandated by the state; suggested - yes, coerced - NO. When it comes to state mandates, we have gone far beyond ‘slippery slopes’: our betters no longer hesitate to push us off cliffs. We must resist every state mandate going forward, as they no longer accept any limitations to their power to compel - acts, words or mere thoughts. I no longer see any peaceful means of stemming the present fascist american (sic) tyranny.

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Got it, such as discussing “infected air.”?

Absent supporting evidence including data and facts, it’s tempting to turn the discussion to ad-hominem broadsides against the interlocutor’s assumed lack of education, reading, and general intelligence ability.

It’s perfectly fine in my view to question evidence and data and how we make sense of what we think we know. And no, appeals to “science!” don’t magically make stuff true just because it’s been published in journals or discussed at conferences or is based on surveys or modeling results.

When you take a break from putting down dissenting comments, consider taking a peek at the “book of knowledge” section on the so-called replication crisis (source)

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Professor Shmuel Shapira, M.D., MPH, served as the Director General of the Israel Institute for Biological Research (IIBR) between 2013 and 2021, where he led Israel’s effort to develop a coronavirus vaccine.

Last week, Twitter censored Prof. Shapira—who was "physically injured” after his third Pfizer vaccine—and forced him to remove a post which said: “Monkey pox cases were rare for years. During the last years a single case was documented in Israel. It is well established the mRNA vaccines affect the natural immune system. A monkey pox outbreak following massive covid vaccination: *Is not a coincidence.”

Post Mortem

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The CDC’s “Facts About mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines” loses a “fact”.

The statement “the mRNA and the spike protein do not last long in the body” has been removed. I suppose this means the claim is not factual anymore?

July 22, 2022:

July 23, 2022:

It is revealing of the CDC’s deceptive intent that the “fact” was removed altogether rather than being replaced by a true statement like “the spike protein remains in the body for months after vaccination” or even a humble admission such as “we don’t know how long the spike protein lasts in the body.”

The CDC does not acknowledge the change at all. The top of the webpage reads “Updated July 15, 2022” both before and after the edit.

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If one looks at excess mortality figures for Zero Covid countries that engaged in mass-vaccinations:


There’s no excess mortality that would arise because of vaccination. There is a beneficial effect of lockdowns, but obviously one can’t stretch that indefinitely.

The problem isn’t the one of vaccines, the problem is the vaxxmaxx narrative resulting in stories like

“I’m a product of science. I have minimal symptoms because of vaccines and antivirals,” he said.

As a result we’re getting the revenue-maximizing best-case scenario for the health-industrial complex.