Ukraine and Russia: War and Consequences

The world is surely getting into a more dangerous place meaning that extended and prolonged war is also inevitable.

What do these two episodes in history have in common?

Hiroshima 6th August 1945

Dnipro 21st November 2024

The first altered the happenings in WW2, I am not here to argue about it, whether it was “good or bad” etc.
But it did change the course of WW2.

I believe that the same will be true for the Ukraine Russia conflict.

Let’s not go into the whole history again but just state the latest …

The Special Military Operation of the Russian Federation started on 24th February 2022 and on 21st November 2024 it has been ongoing for 1001 days.

How has these 1000 days been evolving?

For almost 1000 days it was always … no attacking of the motherland of Russia.

But that changed because Trump won the election and the focus is now … how to create maximum chaos for the Trump administration.

So…

In direct response - to “Ukraine’s” use of U.S. (ATACMS) and British (Storm Shadow) missiles against the territory of the Russian federation on 19th November 2024 and 20th November 2024 respectively - on 21st November 2024 at 05:17 local time the Ukrainian city of Dnipro was hit by the one of Russia’s newest intermediate-range missiles “Oreshnik”.

I believe that this is the moment that will qualify as the change of hearts in US and UK towards Russia.

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I personally believe the gov’t factions represented by the CIA have long desired global warfare. I am coming to believe much of this is for the benefit of a small number of extremely wealthy people who seek additional resources. Russia is a resource-rich nation; it is therefore the target of assault. I understand Afghanistan has large findings of things like lithium, and other resources in short supply.

We are becoming like England - a land of pirates. It is what is so frightening about Trump to the “establishment” - he appears to want to trade for resources, not snatch them essentially illegally. to please some uber-wealthy bunch.

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NATO did not know about Russia’s new Orenshnik missile system !!!

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Is it surprising that NATO does not know about weapon developments in the country that NATO has for decades been proclaiming is the deadly enemy it has been preparing to counter? After all, it is not like the ruling cliques in NATO’s Euro and North American members are famous for their competence.

On one level, there is nothing particularly surprising about this new Russian missile. Intermediate Range Ballistic Missiles are a half-century-old technology. Multiple Re-entry Vehicles and Multiple Independent Re-entry Vehicles have been around for decades. Non-explosive kinetic weapons have been discussed extensively – and probably tested by several countries. And, of course, everyone knows about the ongoing improvements in weapon guidance and accuracy. If NATO is surprised, they are even less competent than many of us suspect.

What would be really interesting is to know the extent of the damage that 36 kinetic weapons were able to do to that Ukrainian arms factory … but there is almost nothing in the public arena. Were the impacts even recorded seismically? Was the strike a devastating blow, or simply great PR?

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GdFIK4aWMAA8bQJ

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Both the Euro and Ruble weaken against dollar

But the dollar is rebounding vs the entire basket

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There are lies, damned lies, and statistics. It’s always possible to game the numbers by choosing the right baseline. The ruble stands at about the same point as it did OCT2023. Whaddayaknow!

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Medicine in a war zone – if Drlorentz (or anyone else) has any observations on this report of a discussion between President Putin and the lady who heads the Russian Federal Medical & Biological Agency, I for one would be very appreciative. Much of the report is above my non-medical head – but it seems interesting.

Russian Medicine at the Front & in the Lab

Some of the numbers the lady quotes don’t seem to add up. Treating 300 - 400 wounded soldiers per day at the beginning of Ukraine’s invasion of Kursk; (at that rate, it would take just 6 months to wound every single person in today’s UK army). On the other hand, she talks about 5,500 people having received “Medical assistance” in the Kursk region so far; maybe those were only the ones whose injuries were sufficiently serious to require operations?

She makes interesting observations about the development of armored ambulances and truck-mounted operating rooms. But perhaps the most interesting snippets are on progress in cancer treatment. The lady seems to be more on the ball than old Fauci, but maybe this is just a bureaucrat reporting “good news”?

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Apologies to any and all who are misled into thinking that I’m a physician. My username is a reference to Hendrik Lorentz, a physicist active around the turn of the 20th century. He was big in special relativity. I started using this name while teaching an online relativity class in the late 1990s; the username was for a message board where students could ask me questions or get clarification on the course material.

I subsequently used the name on other message boards because I was too lazy to come up with a new one. It’s well into the third decade and has acquired a nostalgic aura.

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Vladimir Putin: Do you mean Moderna and Pfizer?

V. Skvortsova: Moderna and Pfizer. Yes, mRNA vaccines. We were able to modify the administration of this mRNA vaccine in such a way with the help of special biotechnological techniques that we actually nullified the side effects.

Finally, the skeptics will embrace mRNA.

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Ah! The Dutch Doctor Lorentz of the Lorentz Contraction! Now I feel silly for missing that allusion.

Hans Schantz had an interesting recent piece on his “Fields & Energy” about the roots of Einstein’s theory of Special Relativity – and Einstein’s unreferenced foundations laid by such people as Dr. Lorentz. Hmmm!

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sound on, and pull lever, don’t mind the red:
Screenshot 2024-11-27 at 11.55.47 AM

Ethnographic map of Ukraine from 1897:

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A vectorized version of the same:
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I cannot read the map due to print size or poor eyesight on my part.

Here is the comment on the tweet.

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There’s a difference between empires and nations. It used to be that an empire would have multiple nations working together under the rule of an emperor. The revolutions of 18th century replaced that model with the nation taking over instead of an emperor. What’s happening now is perhaps a return to the old model of a multi-cultural State composed of different cultural groups.

I’m not saying that one’s better than the other - but there is a form of cycling between systems which requires some thought and analysis.

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We have to be very careful with going back to find the best ethnic and demographic map to support our views.
We, as humanity, has to grow up, and become adults.
If we want genuine peace we have to split landmass according to “where our heart belongs”.
This will become very painful for Europe and Canada …
I say it like this because Trump will be trying to deport as many illegal migrants as possible and just his intentions will have many move to Canada …
Europe will also become very chaotic if countries do not try to protect their uniqueness.

Migration is healthy if there is shortages of skilled or manual labour but forced migration (the kind we see today) is very unhealthy for any society.

And the same goes for Ukraine…

Simply just split the country according to the present sentiment.

Here a map of the sentiment from the 2010 presidential election.

And simply turn this outcome into the border split between Ukraine and Russia.

And we could stop this conflict immediately.

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Yeah, you can see how the current official border is a compromise between these two: between the immigration of Russians, genocide and cultural domination leading to the 2010 outcome – and the original state of affairs 130 year ago.

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130 years? In the history of Europe, which has consisted of white guys killing other white guys for over 1,000 years, with borders in constant flux?

To take only one example, 130 years ago, Ireland was part of the British Crown. Should the now-independent Irish go back under the English yoke because that was where they (temporarily) were 130 years ago?

The current official borders of the Ukraine are themselves a product of transiently moving boundaries over a period of centuries, and were established quite recently in historical terms without much thought by Communists when they (temporarily) ruled the roost.

Everything changes – especially borders! Especially European borders!!

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Odd. I finally got on my computer in place of my phone so I could look at the maps. This reply doesn’t exist on the original X post any longer nor does it show this account having post anything since 2023.

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There is discussion in various corners of the Internet about what the incoming Trump Administration will do about the proxy war in the Ukraine. The Euros and their opposite numbers in the DC Swamp are talking about a Korean-type non-peace – a de-militarized zone with the Euro active belligerents in the war occupying Rump Ukraine, right up to the border with Russia. That is an obvious non-starter.

What is the Trump Administration to do? Especially recognizing that there is very little appetite among the US public for further war. And Trump himself has loudly talked about ending the war (or did he mean only the US involvement in the war?) within 24 hours – although some of his nominees seem to be more in line with Euro belligerents.

The simplest answer would be for the Trump Administration to agree with the Russian position that there is no-one on the Ukrainian side who can legitimately negotiate an end to the war – since Zelensky is now a former president and elections have been cancelled along with democratic essentials such as a free press and opposition political parties.

Thus, the easy solution for ending US involvement in the proxy war would be for the Trump Administration to tell the Zelensky regime to get back to us after holding free & fair democratic elections.

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