Excellent article.
Let me add my 50 Cent to why peace will not come as so many would like (me inclusive).
But let me preface my statement with other items.
- I truly believe that Trump wish to get out of this war (conflict). But remember you can only get out if you are already in
- Trump is now seeing that this conflict is so much more than something obviously i.e. Russia invaded Ukraine on 22 Feb 2022.
With these realisations daunting to Trump, I believe that he now know this pickle he is in.
And from this realisation he just wishes to get out.
Which many normal people will applaud.
So to my main topic, why this conflict will not end anytime soon, meaning this year.
- Zâs personal security was done by CIA from the beginning of the conflict but was transferred to the French Foreign Legion (French: LĂ©gion Ă©trangĂšre) in December 2024.
- EU is hell-bent to have this war:
- if they win, meaning they can take Russia and all its resources, all is good and they can restructure the debt crisis which they are in.
- if they lose, they will default on the debt and âall is goodâ is what they hope for.
- NATO will support EU no matter what happens as they are joint at the hip.
Because of this scenario, Russia must now (and I am sure they will) test US concerning this peace offering.
- Russia should return to SWIFT.
- rollback of the Aegis Missile System in Romania and Poland (as they can be deployed with nukes).
- lift sanctions from US.
- the Baltic states should leave NATO as the first step of pushing back NATO from Russiaâs borders.
- normal diplomatic relations (this is coming).
- creating a disarmament treaty where the number of nukes is reduced.
This is just the beginning of Russiaâs demands to US before they can start discussing the Ukraine conflict.
Of course EU and NATO will have nothing of this and that is why I believe that this is Russiaâs demands to US before talks can start, to see if Trump is in control or of this is just Trump having an opinion on this conflict.
We will see.
But I believe that EU and NATO are hell-bent on WW3 and they will ensure that it will happen.
And Trump would do good to US to get the hell out of dodge ASAP.
The European politicians are all in Klaus Schwabâs fold and his dream of a Marxist Europe is very much alive.
Peace will come but first after the war.
As a historian have said, peace is the period between two wars!
One of the shoes we can reasonably expect to drop as the US & Russia reopen normal diplomatic relations â What were the facts about the 4 large bombs which destroyed 3 of the pipelines in the NordStream system?
President Trump has every reason to cooperate fully with Russia about what Russia has characterized as an act of terrorism â one that incidentally has cost Germany dearly. The probable participants include senior Biden regime members, the UK, Norway, and senior officers of the US armed forces whom President Trump really does not want.
The Trump Administration could gladly agree to see all of those participants tried in a Moscow courtroom. It would be a great confidence-building measure!
It would also be a powerful arrogance shredding demonstration - one so very overdue for deep state denizens who believe they may do as they please and never even be questioned, much less accountable.
Well, here is an interesting perspective on possible ramifications of the deteriorating situation in the Ukraine and European pouting at not being given the respect to which they believe they are entitled:
â⊠Could France, the EU, and Ukraine be plotting a new battlefront in Africa against Russian interests and any Moscow-Washington peace plan for Ukraine? France has been getting kicked out of its former African colonies one by one â while Russia moves in as a preferred partner. Now, suddenly, Ukrainian intelligence is asking France for help in toppling pro-Russian African regimes, according to Intelligence Online. You know, in the same resource-rich regions that Paris once controlled. Dialing up a proxy war in Africa could serve the EU in getting leverage against Russia in Ukraine âŠâ
Entangling alliances â perhaps the French will remember that is the kind of thing which led to World War I, which did not exactly benefit France.
It would be great to see the EU worms getting mired in Syria. That would keep them busy, leaving less time to cause trouble at home. While the Eurocrats are messing around with the Dark Continent, the scary far-right parties can topple their corrupt regimes.
Did U.S. Caution Cost Ukraine a Flying Ace? An August F-16 crash killed Oleksiy âMoonfishâ Mes. America withheld a critical tactical system that might have averted it:
For situational awareness, the U.S. and its European allies use a tactical network called Link 16, which provides a real-time view of all network membersâairplanes, ground units, ground-based air defenses and command, among others. This visibility makes operations safer for allies and deadlier for the enemy. Link 16 also eases the risk to pilots flying at the same time as a barrage of enemy missiles and drones by ensuring their ground-based counterparts know where their jets are.
Link 16 is such a vital and sensitive tool that the U.S. might have been reluctant to provide itâin keeping with the abundance of caution that characterized the Biden administrationâs Ukraine policy. Russia deterred the U.S. from bold support for Ukraine by making it fear Moscowâs response to perceived escalation. As a result, the U.S. was slow to provide weapons, capabilities and permissions. That made powerful weapons less powerful, forced Ukrainians to use scarce Western weapons less efficiently, cost Ukrainian lives, and squandered opportunities to drive the Russians back on the battlefield.
âWe have purposely been slow at training F-16 pilotsâ for Ukraine, says retired U.S. Air Force Gen. Philip Breedlove, a former supreme allied commander for Europe. âWe didnât want to do it quickly because that might actually affect the war. We in the West are morally and intellectually incapable of conceiving a defeated Russia and a defeated Putin. We could be training more, and we could be training faster.â Yulia Marushevska, a Ukrainian Defense Ministry official, says: âWe are continuing to ask the U.S.âto beg the U.S.âto give us more spots for training pilots.â
Is this the famous, stunning, and brave Ghost of Kyiv? Even retarded Wikipedia had to acknowledge that was fake news. Or maybe this is his younger brother. 
Can the EU get involved? I am assuming you mean militarily and I donât think the EU can mount a military mission.
Germany could not evacuate its people from China at the start of COVID because they couldnât get their planes to fly. At least that is what my German colleagues told me in Feb 2020.
Fair point. I was just responding to @Gavinâs comment. I suppose they could try to meddle by giving arms to some faction there.
My position on Ukraine has been that the war could have been avoided. I believe the US pressured Russia into a military response.
The EU leaders comments lately are convincing me that Europe has never really changed. Talk about big hat and no cattle!
My feeling about this type of arrogance is to let them reap the consequences. Given most of Western Europe will be ruled by Muslims in the very near future, I am thinking it would be beneficial for all involved to remove the training wheels and let Europe take a well earned fall.
European leaders in a nutshell.
What explains the US actions on Ukraine is âReverse Nixonâ â which is an attempt to side with Russia against China. See https://www.wsj.com/world/trump-putin-russia-china-policy-e73aeea6
President Trumpâs abrupt and enthusiastic embrace of Russia and its authoritarian leader, Vladimir Putin, is propelled in part by a strategic desire to drive a wedge between Moscow and Beijing, two powers that have long sought to end U.S. dominance of the international order.
Foreign-policy experts have dubbed the attempted maneuver a âreverse Nixonâ after that presidentâs move in the early 1970s to reverse American policy and cozy up to Communist China in an effort to deepen a divide between Mao Zedong and the Soviet Union. The choice reset Cold War geopolitics and set the stage for Chinaâs economic development.
Prying Russia and China apart nowâthe two autocracies declared in 2022 that they have a âno-limitsâ friendshipâwill be difficult. The two nations have deepened military and intelligence cooperation and aligned their foreign policies. China provides Russia with essential economic support, including computer chips and machine tools used in military industries.
Thereâs a better way: Russia is a house of cards, and winning strong in Ukraine will topple it. China is actually a force for civilization, and with some skill, the world could be unified again against the retrograde theocratic and Marxist enemies.
Only in a fantasy world. In the real world, winning strong in the Ukraine (were that possible) would result in thermonuclear World War III, and the total destruction of the West along with much of the rest of the world.
Nothing lasts forever in this world â not the Roman Empire, not the British Empire. It is likely that at some point in the future, Russia as we know it today will break up. It is even more likely that at some point in the not-too-distant future, the US will break up or collapse. Letâs focus on our very real immediate problems at home, and leave the very disparate elements in the Ukraine to sort out their own problems (which they created for themselves).
A very interesting analysis of the problem facing NATO/EU in its war on Russia:
Russia Observer
"⊠NATOâs money talk and boasting (remember âtaking chips from refrigeratorsâ and âRussiaâs industry is in tattersâ; Russia is running out of weapons) has been replaced by some recognition of reality. In January the current NATO GenSek told us âWhen you look what Russia is producing now in three months, itâs what all of NATO is producing from Los Angeles up to Ankara in a full yearâ. Russia is four-to-one against the whole enemy coalition. âŠ
⊠Itâs production, not money. You donât fight wars by firing bundles of dollars at the enemy. âŠ
⊠There is nothing that money can do to remedy the four-to-one ratio except with a lot of investment in production over a long time. Thanks to offshoring manufacturing, the Western industrial base mostly has to be built from the ground up. Is that even possible? âŠ"
The sudden realization by the Regime that their narrative was pure fiction is funny: both in the ha ha sense and the weird sense. Of course, anyone who wasnât deep inside the hive knew it was all bogus from the start.
Remember the âRussia is just a gas station with nukesâ narrative? How about the Ghost of Kyiv? How naive and ignorant of history did a person have to be to believe in these pretty lies? Now the Euro-worms have to adjust to reality â or maybe theyâll come up with an even crazier delusion. Therein lies the danger.
There was a xeet from a professor asking how Russia has an outsized influence given its economy is smaller than Texas.
Most answer nukes. However, there is something else the elite seem to miss. GDP isnât an all encompassing measure of the state of an economy. The US could have the exact economy and if prices were ten times lower the GDP would be roughly ten times lower.
On a purchasing power parity bases Russia is the four largest economy in the world. I have not checked that math, but it passes the smell test.
In order to understand if Russia will economically collapse it would require these people to dispatch their entire economic set of Paul Krugmanesc ideas and to contemplate the simple fact that the wealth of a nation is the amount of goods and services it can produce.
That is so obvious â and so ignored. A country which is so heavily dependent on imported goods is clearly living on borrowed time.
It is interesting that Gross Domestic Production is actually measured by domestic Consumption â we are fooling ourselves. GDP double counts government spending â first some poor slob actually produces something and makes some money; then government taxes that money and gives it to some favored client ⊠and counts that recycled money as part of GDP.
Economically, it is worse than flying blind. We have gauges which tell us we are flying high when in reality we are flying below the level of those mountains ahead.
Iâve been re-reading some documents in the early timeline leading up to this disaster. I began with Putinâs speech announcing and justifying the SMO. Whether or not you agree, his statement is logical, coherent and lays out a comprehensible point of view, much applicable to any nation. Has any of our âleadersâ ever delivered a speech with these characteristics? I find it highly persuasive.
As an extra added measure, it shows precisely the manner in which the deep american(sic) state deploys power over domestic opposition. Putin correctly shows how it bullies nations. We have, it seems, become inured to constant use of its illiberal and increasingly tyrannical methods on us, its citizens. Anyone not demonstrably âon boardâ the radical left freight train of state (yes, every imaginable associated image of freight cars loaded with people applies) has been crushed in the recent years under the new and improved ârule of law.â It is actually the ârules based orderâ writ small and deployed domestically. The congruence of foreign and domestic exercise of raw power by the US is (or ought to be) chilling. Whether or not Trump can derail it, will be determinative of the kind of future (if any) our progeny will enjoy.
It is also instructive to read the conversation between SECSTATE James Baker and Mikhail Gorbachev on Feb. 9, 1990. Here is the source of the ânot one inch eastwardâ promise.
It is clear to me that these encompass the underlying reasons for this optional war. As well, a mind un-warped by propaganda memes must subscribe to a few principles applicable to all nations in all times.
Every nation, like every person, decides for itself what threat is existential - for which it must fight. The US cannot decide that for Mother Russia, notwithstanding the fact it did so for numerous less powerful nations, who could not effectively object.
Ukraine and Russia are, in many dimensions, an ancient unity, as subsumed by âKevan Rusâ. Though this fact is deemed irrelevant to the US in advancing NATO (has anyone stated a coherent purpose in doing so in the 21st century?), it is hardly irrelevant to the parties to the fight. Those who intervene in fraternal fights, in practice, have not rarely come to regret it, in the fullness of time.
Remember the Monroe Doctrine? Spheres of influence? The 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis? Can you imagine the US response, back when, had Mexico joined the Warsaw Pact? Or, tomorrow announces a mutual defense treaty with China!? There are some longtime basic principles operant here that only a power-crazed nation or sociopathic bully - when it comes to individuals rather than nations - would ignore. This is even more the case if a nuclear WWIII is in the offing. Has the US, since the end of WWII, become the national equivalent of a sociopathic (or psychopathic) bully??
The more I read and the more I consider, the less defensible are the actions of the US in - not only this debacle - but also in and many of it prior international machinations. These, of course, happened when I was young, idealistic, naive, patriotic and extremely well propagandized. No more, thanks to the suicide of the MSM (or was it Jacobin-style treatment by the deep state it served?).
Sadly, as I approach my end, the main sense I have is one of betrayal by my country. Once the last best hope, it has had a near-complete a Soviet style revolution. In its earliest stage, I may well not be around long enough to see if the counter-revolution now underway may yet restore that last hope. For the moment, it will suffice if the Ukraine/NATO misadventure is ended in non-nuclear fashion.